ANALISIS PERAMALAN PENGIRIMAN KARGO ANGKUTAN UDARA PERINTIS KORWIL MASAMBA RUTE ANDI JEMMA-SEKO

The process of transporting cargo by air requires more attention related to the limited capacity being transported. The existence of forecasting is expect to accurately predict number of air transport cargo in Masamba Korwil on the Andi Jemma-Seko route in the period of March 2024 to July 2024. Accurate forecasting can help the government in designing the technical delivery of pioneer air freight cargo in the next period. The consequences of this forecast are evaluated if the number of cargo transported decreases and becomes a reference in determining the frequency target if it increases. so as not to exceed the transport capacity it should be.
The strategies utilized in this study are Do9uble Movi9ng Aver9age and D5ouble Exponent5ial Smo4othing. Forecasting calculations are finished with the assistance of Microsoft Excell. From these computations, it tends to be inferred that the most appropriate method with the smallest forecast error value is the Dou2ble Expon2entiial Smo2othing methood. The consequences of forecasting the numberr of pioneer air transport cargo of Korwil Masamba on the Andi Jemma-Seko route in the period March 2024 to July 2024 are 11,671 kg, 11,289 kg, 10,908 kg, 10,527 kg, and 10,145 kg, respectively. The forecast error values were MAD 3,729, MSE 22,749,300, and MAPE 22%.
Keywords : Double Moving Average, cargo, Double Exponential Smoothing, pioneer air transportation, Andi Jemma, Seko.